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2026 H1 AI Chip Industry Review: Blackwell Ultra, the Domestic Big Three, and the Inference Era

· 11 min read
Industry Research Team

In the first half of 2026, the AI chip industry underwent a historic turning point — the center of gravity shifted from the "training race" to "inference efficiency," domestic chip market share broke 40% for the first time, NVIDIA built higher barriers with Blackwell Ultra, and the inference-specific chip track bloomed in diversity.


I. Compute Doubles Again: NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra Launch (June 1)

On June 1, 2026, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang unveiled the new-generation AI chip Blackwell Ultra at Computex 2026 (Taipei), setting a new starting line for the AI infrastructure race over the next two years.

Key Specs

MetricBlackwell UltraB200Improvement
FP8 compute20 petaFLOPS~10 petaFLOPS100%
ArchitectureBlackwell UltraBlackwellUpgrade
Expected delivery2027 Q12026 Q1
PositioningHyperscale training + inferenceTraining + inferenceFlagship

Industry Significance

  1. Direct impact of doubled compute: 20 petaFLOPS FP8 means training time for hundred-billion-parameter models drops sharply; trillion-parameter model training moves from "scientific experiment" to "engineering routine"
  2. System-level balance: Blackwell Ultra is not just a chip but a system-level engineering breakthrough across NVLink, HBM, cooling, and power delivery
  3. Roadmap certainty: The Q1 2027 delivery timeline lets cloud vendors and AI labs plan infrastructure budgets 18 months ahead

Challenges

  • Energy crisis: Doubled performance comes with sharply higher power; datacenter power and cooling design face extreme challenges
  • Accessibility: Top-tier compute goes first to top cloud vendors; how smaller developers and research institutes reach compute at reasonable cost via cloud services
  • Software stack adaptation: New hardware needs matching CUDA versions and framework support; software ecosystem maturity becomes the key bottleneck for compute conversion

II. Domestic AI Chips: The Tipping Point from "Usable" to "Good"

On June 16, 2026, Xinchuang World published "2026 China Domestic AI Chip Vendor Capability Quadrant", clearly outlining the overall domestic landscape.

2.1 Capability Quadrant Ranking

QuadrantRepresentative Vendors
Leader quadrantHuawei Ascend, Hygon, Cambricon, Alibaba T-Head, Moore Threads
Visionary quadrantBaidu Kunlunxin, Biren, Enflame, Iluvatar, HardyVision
Contender quadrantTSINGMICRO, Black Sesame, SemiDrive, Lisuan, Houmo
Challenger quadrantDenglin, Zhicun, VeriSilicon, Rockchip, Intellifusion

2.2 Huawei Ascend: The Anchor of Domestic Compute

Market Position

  • In 2025, Ascend series shipped 812,000 units, capturing 49% of the domestic AI accelerator card share, firmly No.1 domestically
  • Ascend 950PR single-card FP8 compute reaches 1P (PetaFLOPS), FP4 compute reaches 2P
  • Inference performance is about 2.87x that of NVIDIA H20, priced at only 72,000-75,000 RMB, a significant price/performance advantage

Full-Stack Advantage

Huawei's "device-network-cloud-chip" integrated strategy is Ascend's core moat:

  • Chip design: Da Vinci 3.0 architecture iterating continuously
  • OS: HarmonyOS/Euler OS deeply optimized
  • Networking: Euler network protocol stack
  • Cloud: Huawei Cloud ModelArts platform seamlessly integrated

Latest Progress

  • On June 5, 2026, Shenzhen Hetao College, together with HIT (Shenzhen) and Huawei, completed full-parameter post-training of a 1.6-trillion-parameter DeepSeek V4 Pro model on an Ascend 910C cluster
  • This is the first time domestic AI chips completed trillion-parameter-level model training, marking "domestic substitution" moving from inference to training

2.3 Cambricon: The First Profitable Domestic AI Chip Benchmark

Performance Explosion

MetricFull-year 20252026 Q1YoY Growth
Revenue6.497B RMB2.885B RMB+453% / +160%
Net profit2.059B RMB (first annual profit)1.013B RMB— / +185%

Core Product: Siyuan 590

  • In DeepSeek R1 inference scenarios, TPS reaches 942, about 50% higher than H20
  • Years of joint optimization with ByteDance; strongest short-term cloud inference deployment capability
  • Of 2.885B RMB Q1 2026 revenue, Siyuan 590 contributed over 70%

Potential Risks

Absent from the 2nd 2026 "Safe and Reliable Evaluation Results Announcement"; the reason is unclear and will affect its domestic government/enterprise market performance.

2.4 TSINGMICRO: The "Third Route" of Reconfigurable Chips

Technical Route

TSINGMICRO adopts a reconfigurable dataflow architecture同源 with Groq LPU, finding a balance between GPU generality and ASIC extreme efficiency.

MetricTSINGMICRO TX81Traditional GPUAdvantage
Inference costBaseline+100%Reduced 50%
Energy efficiencyBaselineBaseline3x improvement
ArchitectureReconfigurable dataflowSIMT/SIMDBetter for inference

Deployment Progress

  • Cumulative shipments of reconfigurable chips exceed 30 million units
  • Scaled deployment in a dozen-plus thousand-card-scale intelligent computing centers nationwide
  • Has begun A-share IPO tutoring; likely to become the "first reconfigurable chip stock"

III. The Inference Chip Track: Core Signal of the Industry Shift

On June 4, 2026, TrendForce published a deep report "The Era of Inference Economy: The Rules of AI Chips Are Being Rewritten," pointing out that the compute competition center of gravity is shifting from training to inference.

3.1 Why Now?

Cost Structure Changed

  • Training is a one-time cost: Once a model is trained, marginal cost approaches zero
  • Inference is a recurring cost: Every API call, every generated token represents compute consumption and gross-margin pressure
  • Per-unit inference cost and energy efficiency directly affect gross margin and scale-expansion capability

Model Compression Tech Matured

  • 1.58-bit quantization and weight pruning let models maintain inference accuracy at extremely low memory footprint
  • MoE (Mixture of Experts) architecture activates only a few expert sub-networks per inference via "partial wake-up," greatly reducing actual computation
  • The rise of slimmed models provides commercial viability for hard-wired inference chips

3.2 NVIDIA's $20B Bet: Acquiring Groq (December 2025)

On December 24, 2025, NVIDIA acquired Groq's inference technology license and core team for $20 billion, one of NVIDIA's largest M&A/tech acquisitions ever.

Strategic intent:

  1. Fill the inference gap: NVIDIA GPU is unshakable in training, but inference efficiency was never its strongest suit
  2. Counter specialized inference chips: Cerebras, Taalas, SambaNova and other startups are eroding the inference market
  3. Position for Agentic AI: Agentic AI needs extremely low-latency, high-throughput inference

3.3 Taalas HC1: Proof of Concept for Hard-Wired Inference

On February 20, 2026, Canadian AI chip startup Taalas launched inference chip Taalas HC1, directly etching Meta's open-source AI model Llama 3.1 8B into the chip.

Key Metrics

MetricTaalas HC1NVIDIA B200 (throughput optimized)Advantage
Inference rate16,960 tokens/s/userBaseline~4-5x
Cost per million tokens0.75 cents3.79 centsReduced 80%
Power~250W~700WReduced 64%
ProcessTSMC N6TSMC 4nmMore mature
HBM❌ Not used✅ HBM3eLower cost

Technical Principle

Taalas HC1 uses an aggressive Computing-in-Memory (CIM) implementation:

  • Model weights directly固化 in Mask ROM (fully hardware-defined)
  • On-chip SRAM handles dynamic data (KV cache and LoRA fine-tuning weights)
  • Only 2 mask layers need modification to produce a dedicated chip for another AI model; turning an AI model into a physical chip takes only 2 months

Limitations

  • Lack of flexibility: Hard-wiring cannot cope with rapidly iterating model updates
  • Ecosystem barrier: The current cloud market still relies on general-purpose platforms; customers may prefer flexible solutions that upgrade with models
  • NRE cost: High one-time engineering cost, requiring sufficient deployment scale to amortize

3.4 Cerebras: The IPO Path of Wafer-Scale Integration

On May 14, 2026, Cerebras Systems officially listed on NASDAQ, becoming the first wafer-scale AI chip company to go public.

Core Technology: Wafer-Scale Integration (WSI)

  • WSE-3 (third-gen wafer-scale engine): An entire 12-inch wafer as a single chip
  • 44GB on-chip SRAM: No external HBM, eliminating the memory bandwidth bottleneck
  • 21 PB/s bandwidth: On-chip communication bandwidth, thousands of times that of GPUs
  • Partnership with OpenAI: Signed a 3-year, 750MW, $20B+ compute cooperation agreement

IPO Significance

Cerebras's listing marks the maturation of the inference-specific chip track:

  1. Capital markets begin pricing such companies
  2. Proves "non-GPU" technical routes have commercial viability
  3. Provides valuation references for other inference chip startups (Groq, SambaNova, Taalas, etc.)

3.5 Inference Chip Landscape: Multiple Technical Routes Coexist

CompanyTechnical RouteCore AdvantageRepresentative Product
TaalasHard-wired (Mask ROM)Extreme inference efficiency, low costHC1
CerebrasWafer-scale integration (WSI)Ultra-high bandwidth, large-model inferenceWSE-3
GroqSRAM-first architectureDeterministic latency, high throughputLPU (acquired by NVIDIA)
d-MatrixDigital in-memory compute (DIMC)More flexible than hard-wiringCorsair
EtchedHard-wired TransformerWorks for all Transformer modelsSohu
Axelera AIDigital in-memory compute (D-IMC) + RISC-VHigh energy efficiencyMetis AIPU

TrendForce predicts:

  • General-purpose GPUs still dominate training and multi-model environments
  • But in mature, predictable scenarios, general-purpose GPU profit margins will be compressed
  • The industry shifts from general compute monopoly to a dual-track structure of general + specialized coexistence

IV. Overall Domestic AI Chip Landscape in H1 2026

4.1 Industry Enters Scale-Up Phase

Metric20252026 Q1Trend
Domestic AI accelerator shipments1.65M units (41% share)Rising
Total China AI accelerator shipments~4M units
Hygon revenue growthDoubled
Cambricon revenue growth+160%
Moore Threads revenue growthDoubled

Leading vendors collectively entered the revenue realization channel, moving from "technical validation" to "scale commercialization."

Trend 1: Capitalization Wave Reshapes the Landscape

  • Late 2025 to early 2026: Moore Threads, Iluvatar listed on the STAR Market
  • Biren listed on the Hong Kong stock exchange
  • Enflame STAR Market IPO accepted
  • Kunlunxin, T-Head initiated listing processes
  • TSINGMICRO, HardyVision and others advancing IPOs

Capitalization brings dual effects:

  • Positive: Supports R&D and ecosystem building
  • ⚠️ Negative: Valuation bubbles and revenue realization pressure

Trend 2: Capacity Becomes the Biggest Constraint Variable

The contradiction between explosive domestic AI chip demand and limited advanced-process capacity is sharpening:

VendorAdvanced-process capacity needActually obtained
Huawei Ascend15K wafers/month (7nm-class)Priority guaranteed
SMIC total capacity~20K wafers/month (7nm-class)
Other vendors~5K wafers/month combinedExtremely tight

Whether stable wafer capacity can be secured directly determines vendor survival. Cambricon's 75.4% inventory-to-revenue ratio is essentially a lock on capacity.

Trend 3: Competition Shifts from "Usable" to "Good"

Early competition focused on "can it run the model"; now it's about "runtime efficiency, deployment cost":

Dimension"Usable" era"Good" era
Hardware performanceCan it run the modelRuntime efficiency, energy efficiency
Software stackBasic adaptationMaturity, framework breadth
EcosystemExistenceDeveloper community activity
Deployment costInsensitiveCore competitive factor

V. H2 2026 Outlook

5.1 Upcoming Key Events

TimeEventImpact
2026 Q3NVIDIA Rubin architecture details revealedNext-gen flagship specs unveiled
2026 Q3Huawei Ascend 950PR/950DT formally launchedNew benchmark for domestic inference chips
2026 Q4AMD MI350X scaled deliveryNVIDIA Blackwell competitor
2026 Q4Cambricon Siyuan 690 launch (est.)New-gen training chip
2027 Q1NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra deliveryNew compute benchmark lands

5.2 Key Competitive Factors Over the Next Three Years

  1. Wafer capacity access: Advanced-process capacity is a scarce resource; vendors tied to SMIC and TSMC have inherent advantages
  2. Capital operation efficiency: The IPO window is limited; raising enough capital on the market determines R&D sustainability
  3. Software ecosystem depth: Hardware performance is only the entry ticket; software stack maturity, framework adaptation breadth, and developer community activity are the core moat

VI. Conclusion: A Diverse Ecosystem Will Eventually Form

In H1 2026, the AI chip industry is undergoing a historic transition from "one dominant player" to "pluralistic coexistence."

  • NVIDIA builds higher training barriers with Blackwell Ultra while laying out inference efficiency via the Groq acquisition
  • Huawei Ascend holds the domestic compute baseline with full-stack capability; 950PR begins to surpass H20 in inference
  • Cambricon proves the commercial viability of domestic AI chips by turning profitable first; Siyuan 590 surpasses international rivals in specific scenarios
  • Cerebras, Taalas and other inference-specific chip companies opened a "non-GPU" third route
  • TSINGMICRO's reconfigurable architecture provides a diversified technical route choice for China's AI chips

Over the next three years, the domestic AI chip endgame will form a pluralistic ecosystem where GPU, ASIC, and reconfigurable computing three technical routes coexist, with cloud and edge developing in coordination. "Domestic substitution" is no longer a slogan, but an industrial reality happening now.


Data sources:

  • Xinchuang World "2026 China Domestic AI Chip Vendor Capability Quadrant" (2026-06-16)
  • TrendForce "The Era of Inference Economy: The Rules of AI Chips Are Being Rewritten" (2026-06-04)
  • RayByte "Compute Doubles! NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra Chip Launched" (2026-06-02)
  • Official financial reports and announcements of each company

Related reading:


June 2026 AI Chip Major Events Roundup: Ascend 910C Trains Trillion-Parameter Model, OpenAI Custom Chip, RTX Spark Launch

· 6 min read
Industry Research Team

June 2026 saw multiple milestone events in the AI chip field, marking acceleration of two major trends: "domestic substitution" and "de-NVIDIA-ization."

1. Huawei Ascend 910C Completes 1.6-Trillion-Parameter DeepSeek V4 Pro Training (2026-06-05)

Event Overview

June 5, 2026, Shenzhen Hetao College, together with Harbin Institute of Technology (Shenzhen), Shenzhen Big Data Research Institute, Huawei, and other teams, relied on an Ascend 910C domestic AI compute cluster to successfully complete full-parameter post-training of the 1.6-trillion-parameter DeepSeek V4 Pro large model.

Technical Significance

MetricValue
Model parameters1.6 trillion
Training chipAscend 910C cluster
Training typeFull Parameter Post-Training
SignificanceFirst time domestic AI chips complete trillion-parameter-level model training

Industry Impact

  1. Breaks technology blockade: Proves domestic AI chips can train trillion-parameter models
  2. Accelerates "farewell to NVIDIA": DeepSeek fully switches to Huawei Ascend, reducing dependence on H100
  3. Domestic substitution inflection point: From "inference substitution" to "training substitution"

2. OpenAI Launches First Custom AI Inference Chip Jalapeño (2026-06-24)

Event Overview

June 24, 2026, OpenAI and Broadcom jointly launched the first custom AI inference chip Jalapeño, with a design cycle of only 9 months (industry average 18 months), using TSMC 3nm process.

Key Metrics

MetricJalapeñoComparison (Blackwell)
ProcessTSMC 3nmTSMC 4nm
ArchitectureSystolic ArrayBlackwell GPU
Design cycle9 months~18 months
Inference cost-50%Baseline
AI-assisted design✅ First❌ No
DeploymentEnd of 2026Shipped

Strategic Significance

  1. First AI chip with AI-assisted design: OpenAI used models like GPT-5.3-Codex-Spark to assist architecture exploration
  2. Accelerates "de-NVIDIA-ization": Tech giants (Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, OpenAI) collectively develop custom chips
  3. Inference cost revolution: For OpenAI processing hundreds of millions of API calls daily, a 50% cost reduction is significant

3. NVIDIA Launches RTX Spark AI PC Superchip at Computex 2026 (2026-06-01)

Event Overview

June 1, 2026, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang launched the RTX Spark AI PC superchip at Computex 2026 / GTC Taipei, in collaboration with MediaTek, using an Arm CPU + Blackwell GPU unified-memory architecture.

Key Metrics

MetricRTX Spark
CPUUp to 20-core Arm (with MediaTek)
GPU6,144 CUDA cores (Blackwell)
Unified memory128GB LPDDR5X (shared CPU+GPU)
Memory bandwidth300 GB/s
AI compute~1 PFLOPS (est.)
Model capacityCan run 120B-parameter models
ContextUp to 1 million tokens
TDP~100W (est.)
AvailabilityFall 2026

Industry Impact

  1. NVIDIA enters PC chip market: Challenges Intel's dominance in personal computers
  2. New AI PC standard: Run 120B-parameter models locally, 1M-token context
  3. Windows transforms into AI Agent platform: Deep collaboration with Microsoft OpenShell framework

4. MIIT Publishes "2026 AI Chip Industry Development White Paper" (2026-06-09)

Event Overview

June 9, 2026, China's Ministry of Industry and Information Technology published the "2026 AI Chip Industry Development White Paper," predicting the domestic AI chip market will exceed 200 billion RMB in 2026.

Key Predictions

Metric2026 Prediction
Market sizeExceed 200 billion RMB
Domestic chip share>50% (41% in 2025)
Edge inference chipsSignificant progress
Shipment growthMore than double (vs 2025)

Industry Significance

  1. Domestic AI chip capitalization accelerates: Cambricon, Enflame, Moore Threads, etc. accelerate IPOs
  2. Edge inference becomes the breakthrough: Easier to achieve domestic substitution than training chips
  3. Policy dividend continues: Domestic substitution upgraded from "market behavior" to "national strategy"

5. ByteDance in Talks to Procure 50K Iluvatar Inference Chips (2026-06-17)

Event Overview

June 17, 2026, Reuters reported that ByteDance is in talks with Shanghai AI chip firm Iluvatar to procure at least 50,000 AI chips, mainly for inference tasks.

Deal Details

ItemContent
BuyerByteDance
SupplierIluvatar
Chip modelZhiKai series (inference GPU)
QuantityAt least 50,000
UseInference workloads
Training chipTianTai series

Industry Significance

  1. Domestic GPU top player "adds a member": Iluvatar enters a top internet company's supply chain for the first time
  2. ByteDance 2026 capex raised over 200B RMB: Mainly for AI compute and datacenters
  3. "Domestic substitution" extends from government/SOEs to private tech giants

Trend 1: "Domestic Substitution" Moves from Inference to Training

  • Ascend 910C completes 1.6-trillion-parameter model training → Proves domestic chips have training capability
  • DeepSeek fully switches to Ascend → Leading AI companies first to "farewell to NVIDIA"
  • ByteDance procures Iluvatar → Private tech giants follow

Trend 2: "De-NVIDIA-ization" from Slogan to Action

  • OpenAI Jalapeño → First custom chip, inference cost -50%
  • Google TPU, Amazon Trainium, Microsoft Maia → Continuous iteration
  • Meta MTIA, Apple M5 Ultra → Increased investment

Trend 3: AI PC and Edge Inference Become New Battlefield

  • NVIDIA RTX Spark → New AI PC standard, launches Fall 2026
  • Edge inference chip localization accelerates → Key mention in MIIT white paper
  • "Local trillion-parameter model execution" → New consumer market selling point

Looking Ahead (2026 H2)

  1. Ascend 950DT full scale-up (2026 Q4) → Huawei's latest-gen training chip
  2. NVIDIA Rubin R200 shipment (2026 H2) → Next-gen flagship
  3. AMD MI400 Helios rack (2026 H2) → Targets NVIDIA GB200
  4. OpenAI Jalapeño deployment (end of 2026) → Gigawatt-scale datacenters
  5. Domestic AI chip shipments more than double → CITIC Securities prediction

References


This article is continuously updated. Please provide the latest developments.

OpenAI's In-House AI Chip Jalapeño Deep Dive: Taped Out in 9 Months, Inference Cost Cut 50%

· 9 min read
AI Hardware Analyst

On June 24, 2026, OpenAI and Broadcom jointly announced their first in-house AI inference chip, Jalapeño. This ASIC designed specifically for large language model inference went from design to tape-out in just 9 months and cuts inference cost by roughly 50%, marking OpenAI's transformation from a pure model company into a full-stack AI infrastructure provider.


1. Core conclusions (read this first)

DimensionJalapeñoCurrent GPU solutionAdvantage
Inference cost-50%Baseline✅ Half the cost
Performance per wattClearly superiorMost advanced accelerator✅ Energy-efficiency lead
Design cycle9 months~18 months✅ 2× faster
PositioningInference ASICTrain+inference GPUDedicated optimization
SupplyInternal onlyMarket purchase⚠️ Not for sale

One-line summary: Jalapeño is a key step in OpenAI's full-stack AI strategy, using in-house silicon to cut inference cost 50% while opening a new paradigm of "AI-assisted design of AI chips."


2. What is Jalapeño?

2.1 Basic information

ItemDetail
NameJalapeño (a chili pepper)
TypeApplication-specific integrated circuit (ASIC)
PositioningLarge language model inference
Announced2026-06-24
Taped outSep 2025 (est., 9-month rapid tape-out)
DeploymentEnd of 2026 (gigawatt-scale data centers)
PartnersBroadcom, TSMC, Celestica
ProcessTSMC 3nm
ArchitectureSystolic Array
HBM8 stacks (est. HBM3E or HBM4)

2.2 Why "Jalapeño"?

Jalapeño is a Mexican chili known for "medium heat, strong flavor." OpenAI's naming hints that the chip:

  • Medium heat: not the most aggressive architecture (vs Cerebras WSE), but effective enough
  • Strong flavor: strong presence in inference scenarios (50% cost reduction)
  • Appetizer: just "the first step of a multi-generation roadmap" (Broadcom CEO Hock Tan)

3. Deep technical analysis

3.1 9-month rapid tape-out: the new paradigm of AI-assisted chip design

Normally, designing an ASIC from scratch takes 1.5 to 2 years. Jalapeño went from initial design to manufacturing tape-out in just 9 months.

Key reason: deep software-hardware co-development

TechniqueDescription
AI-assisted architecture explorationOpenAI used its own frontier models (GPT-5.3-Codex-Spark) to explore chip architecture design space
AI power simulationAI models for power simulation and optimization
RL optimizationRL to optimize chip placement and routing
Broadcom silicon implementationBroadcom provides top-tier ASIC implementation (network, switch chip experience)

OpenAI President Greg Brockman said:

"We use the frontier models that serve our users to optimize the infrastructure that runs the models of the future."

3.2 Architecture optimized for inference

Unlike general-purpose GPUs, Jalapeño is an ASIC built from scratch around OpenAI's deep understanding of LLM inference workloads:

Architecture featureDescription
Reduce data movementCore principle is minimizing data movement (the main bottleneck in inference)
Balanced compute-memory-networkResource allocation optimized for inference, bringing real utilization closer to theoretical peak
High throughput + low latencyAims to combine the throughput of leading accelerators with the low latency of the fastest dedicated inference systems
Future model supportSupports not only current models (GPT-5, GPT-5.3) but adapts to next-gen inference needs

3.3 Full-stack platform: more than a chip

Jalapeño is a multi-generation compute platform, not just a chip:

ComponentSupplierDescription
Accelerator chipOpenAI design, TSMC fabTSMC 3nm, 8-stack HBM
Network switch chipBroadcom TomahawkHigh-speed interconnect (competes with NVIDIA NVLink)
Board, rack, systemCelesticaFull-rack solution
Software stackOpenAIDeep adaptation for GPT, Codex, Agent products

Deployment target: gigawatt-scale data centers

Broadcom CEO Hock Tan said:

"Jalapeño will begin deployment this year in gigawatt-scale data centers with Microsoft and other partners."


4. Performance and cost analysis

4.1 Inference cost cut 50%

Although OpenAI's official release was conservative on Jalapeño's cost savings — only stating its "performance per watt is substantially better than today's state of the art" without a specific percentage — per Bloomberg, Broadcom CEO Hock Tan revealed:

Early internal tests show Jalapeño achieves roughly 50% inference cost savings versus today's mainstream AI GPUs.

Significance for OpenAI:

ItemCurrent (GPU)JalapeñoSavings
Daily API callsHundreds of millionsHundreds of millions
Inference cost share~60-70% of operating cost~30-35%-50%
Annual compute spendBillions of dollarsHundreds of millionsSaves billions

4.2 Performance per watt clearly better than state of the art

OpenAI's announcement states:

"Jalapeño engineering samples have successfully run complex reinforcement-learning tasks such as GPT-5.3-Codex-Spark at target frequency and power; early tests show performance per watt substantially better than today's most advanced AI accelerators."

Comparison target: NVIDIA Blackwell (today's most advanced AI accelerator)

MetricJalapeñoNVIDIA BlackwellNote
Performance per wattClearly superiorBaselineOpenAI official statement
Inference latencyOn par with fastest dedicated inference systemsBaselineTarget
ThroughputOn par with leading acceleratorsBaselineTarget
TDPNot disclosed (est. 400-700W)700-1000WJalapeño possibly lower

5. Impact on the AI chip market

5.1 "De-NVIDIA-ification" accelerates

Jalapeño's launch is another footnote in big-tech's collective challenge to NVIDIA's market dominance:

VendorIn-house chipTypeStatusRelation to OpenAI
GoogleTPU v6e / IronwoodTrain+inference✅ CommercialGoogle Cloud supplies OpenAI
AmazonTrainium 3Training✅ LaunchedAWS supplies OpenAI
MicrosoftMaia 100Train+inference✅ LaunchedOpenAI exclusive partner
MetaMTIATrain+inference✅ Launched
AppleNeural EngineOn-device inference✅ Commercial
OpenAIJalapeñoInference🚧 Deploy end of 2026Internal + possibly sold to third parties

5.2 OpenAI is not about to fully "abandon" NVIDIA

Brockman admitted:

"We simply cannot get compute fast enough."

Currently OpenAI is simultaneously procuring chips from NVIDIA, AWS, AMD, and Cerebras; Jalapeño is a structural supplement to its explosive compute demand, not a replacement.

5.3 Possibly sold to third parties

Broadcom CEO Hock Tan specifically emphasized:

"This is just 'the start of a multi-generation roadmap'; OpenAI and Broadcom aim to jointly build gigawatt-scale compute clusters."

This means OpenAI may sell its hardware to third parties, provided it can secure enough supply from Broadcom and TSMC.


6. Jalapeño vs other in-house chips

MetricJalapeño (OpenAI)TPU v6e (Google)Trainium 3 (Amazon)Maia 100 (Microsoft)
Announced2026-06-242024Q4 20252023
TypeInference ASICTrain+inference TPUTraining ASICTrain+inference
ProcessTSMC 3nmTSMC 4nmTSMC 5nm (est.)TSMC 5nm (est.)
For sale❌ Internal only (maybe later)✅ GCP✅ AWS❌ Internal only
Design cycle9 months~18 months~18 months~18 months
AI-assisted design✅ First❌ No❌ No❌ No
Cost advantage-50% inference costOptimizedOptimizedOptimized

Key differences:

  • ✅ Jalapeño is the first AI chip designed with AI assistance
  • ✅ Jalapeño design cycle only 9 months (industry average 18 months)
  • ⚠️ Jalapeño not for sale (at least for now)

7. Future roadmap

7.1 Multi-generation chip platform

Jalapeño is just "the start of a multi-generation roadmap":

TimeEvent
End of 2026Jalapeño initial deployment (gigawatt-scale data centers)
2027Jalapeño v2 (est., architecture optimization)
2027-2028Jalapeño training version (est., challenging TPU/Trainium)
2028 and beyondGigawatt-scale compute cluster fully built

7.2 OpenAI full-stack AI infrastructure strategy

LayerOpenAI in-houseOutsourced/procured
Models✅ GPT-5, GPT-5.3, Codex
Chips✅ Jalapeño (inference)NVIDIA GPU, AWS Trainium, AMD GPU
Systems✅ With CelesticaMicrosoft Azure data centers
Network✅ Broadcom TomahawkMicrosoft Azure network
Cloud platform❌ NoneMicrosoft Azure (exclusive partner)

8. Industry reaction and expert views

8.1 Supportive views

ExpertView
Broadcom CEO Hock Tan"Jalapeño is just the start of a multi-generation roadmap; the goal is to jointly build gigawatt-scale compute clusters."
OpenAI President Greg Brockman"We use the frontier models that serve our users to optimize the infrastructure that runs the models of the future."
Industry insiders"Jalapeño's launch is another footnote in big-tech's collective challenge to NVIDIA's market dominance."

8.2 Skeptical views

ConcernDescription
Not for saleCurrently internal only; third parties cannot purchase, limited impact on NVIDIA's market share
Software ecosystemOpenAI must build its own software stack; competing with CUDA is hard
Supply capacityTSMC capacity is limited; can it meet OpenAI + Broadcom + other customers' demand?
Opaque performance dataOpenAI has not released specs (compute, memory, bandwidth, TDP), hard to assess objectively

9. Significance for developers

9.1 If OpenAI sells Jalapeño to developers in the future...

ScenarioCurrent (NVIDIA GPU)Future (Jalapeño)
Inference costBaseline-50%
Inference latencyBaselinePossibly lower
Software stackCUDA + TensorRTOpenAI API (possibly open-source stack)
Procurement difficultyHigh (export controls, supply shortage)Low (OpenAI direct supply)

9.2 Worth watching even if not sold

  • 50% inference cost cut forces NVIDIA, AMD, Intel to lower GPU prices
  • ✅ The AI-assisted chip design paradigm will be rapidly copied by the industry
  • ✅ The 9-month tape-out cycle becomes a new industry benchmark

10. Summary

DimensionAssessment
Technology innovation⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ First AI chip designed with AI assistance, 9-month tape-out
Cost advantage⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ 50% inference cost cut, billions saved annually
Strategic significance⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ OpenAI transforms from pure model company to full-stack AI infrastructure provider
Market impact⭐⭐⭐⭐ "De-NVIDIA-ification" accelerates, big-tech in-house chip camp grows
Openness⭐⭐ Internal only for now, possibly sold to third parties later

Final recommendations:

  • 🇨🇳 China market: Keep watching Huawei Ascend, Cambricon MLU, Moore Threads MTT (Jalapeño not sold to China)
  • 🌍 International market: Watch whether Jalapeño is eventually sold externally and its impact on NVIDIA's market share
  • 💡 Developers: Watch for possible OpenAI API price cuts (50% inference cost cut may partially pass through)

References


Disclaimer: Some specs in this article are estimates, subject to OpenAI's official technical white paper. OpenAI will release a detailed performance white paper in the coming months.

Last updated: June 26, 2026

China's Domestic AI Chip Triopoly (2026): Ascend, Cambricon, Moore Threads — Who Is the "China H100"?

· 7 min read
AI Hardware Analyst

Against the backdrop of U.S. export controls, China's AI chip market is forming a "three-way standoff." This article compares the technical routes, product specs, software ecosystems, and commercial progress of the three major domestic AI chip vendors: Huawei Ascend, Cambricon MLU, and Moore Threads MTT.


Key Points

  • Huawei Ascend: leader in domestic AI training chips; Ascend 950 in mass production; most mature software ecosystem
  • Cambricon MLU690: the "China H100," compute close to H200, clear efficiency advantage
  • Moore Threads MTT S5000: full-function GPU route; achieved Day-0 support for Qwen3.5 and GLM-5.2 in June 2026
  • Shared challenge: affected by U.S. export controls, primarily aimed at the Chinese market, limited internationally

I. Vendor Overview

VendorFoundedFounderListed2025 RevenueMain Customers
Huawei Ascend2018 (division)Ren Zhengfeiprivate (wholly owned by Huawei)~¥20B (est.)Chinese gov, SOEs, military
Cambricon2016Chen Tianshi (CAS)2020-07 (STAR Market 688256)~¥5.2BByteDance, Alibaba, Baidu
Moore Threads2020Zhang Jianzhong (ex-NVIDIA China)2023-12 (STAR Market 688495)~¥1.5B (est.)gov, SOEs, gaming cos.

Strategic Positioning

VendorTech routeCore strengthMain challenge
Huawei AscendAI-training-specific (Da Vinci)co-optimized HW/SW, carrier channelssanctions, process limits
CambriconAI-training-specific (MLUarch)high efficiency, competitive priceimmature ecosystem
Moore ThreadsFull-function GPU (MUSA)graphics + AI + general compute, Day-0 supportcompute below dedicated AI chips

II. Flagship Product Comparison

1. Huawei Ascend 950DT (2026 flagship)

ItemSpec
BF16 compute1,000 TFLOPS
Memory144GB HiZQ 2.0 (in-house HBM)
Memory bandwidth4 TB/s
TDP400W
ProcessN+2 (improved 7nm)
Released2026-04
Mass production2026-Q2
Unit price~¥80,000 (est.)

Strengths:

  • High large-model inference throughput: 144GB memory friendly to DeepSeek R1 (671B MoE)
  • Most mature ecosystem: CANN ~85% operator coverage, supports PyTorch, TensorFlow
  • Strong carrier channel: China Mobile, China Telecom large purchases

Weaknesses:

  • Process limited: N+2 below TSMC 4nm
  • Mediocre efficiency: 400W TDP, 2.5 TFLOPS/W

2. Cambricon MLU690 (2026 flagship)

ItemSpec
BF16 compute600 TFLOPS
Memory64GB HBM3
Memory bandwidth2 TB/s
TDP280W
ProcessTSMC 7nm
Released2025-Q4
Mass production2026-Q1
Unit price~¥140,000 (est.)

Strengths:

  • Best efficiency: 280W TDP, 2.14 TFLOPS/W (1.5x H100)
  • Competitive price: ~$20,000, 33% cheaper than H100
  • Top-tier customer orders: ByteDance, Alibaba, Baidu

Weaknesses:

  • Small memory: 64GB limits large-model training scale
  • Immature ecosystem: NeuWare ~75–85% coverage; complex LLMs need manual tuning

3. Moore Threads MTT S5000 (2025 flagship)

ItemSpec
FP16 compute~1,000 TFLOPS (est.)
Memory80GB GDDR6X
Memory bandwidth1.6 TB/s
TDP~350W
ProcessTSMC 4nm (est.)
Released2025-02
Mass production2025-Q2
Unit price~¥50,000 (est.)

Strengths:

  • Full-function GPU: graphics + AI + general compute, broader scenarios
  • Strong Day-0 support: June 2026 Day-0 support for Qwen3.5, GLM-5.2, MiniMax M3
  • Lowest price: ~¥50,000, high cost-performance

Weaknesses:

  • Compute below dedicated AI chips: FP16 ~50% of H100
  • Low memory bandwidth: 1.6 TB/s (48% of H100), limits large-model training

III. Compute Comparison (BF16/FP16)

ChipBF16 computeMemoryBandwidthTDPEfficiency
Huawei Ascend 950DT1,000 TFLOPS144GB4 TB/s400W2.5 TFLOPS/W
Cambricon MLU690600 TFLOPS64GB2 TB/s280W2.14 TFLOPS/W
Moore Threads MTT S5000~1,000 TFLOPS80GB1.6 TB/s~350W~2.86 TFLOPS/W
NVIDIA H100989 TFLOPS80GB3.35 TB/s700W1.41 TFLOPS/W
NVIDIA H200989 TFLOPS141GB4.8 TB/s700W1.41 TFLOPS/W

Key insights:

  1. Ascend 950DT has the highest compute (1,000 TFLOPS) but mediocre efficiency
  2. Cambricon MLU690 has the best efficiency (2.14 TFLOPS/W), TDP only 280W
  3. Moore Threads MTT S5000 wins on full-function versatility but low bandwidth

IV. Software Ecosystem

VendorStackFramework supportCoverageMaturity
Huawei AscendCANNPyTorch, TensorFlow, MindSpore~85%⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)
CambriconNeuWarePyTorch-Cambricon, TensorFlow-Cambricon~75–85%⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)
Moore ThreadsMUSIFYPyTorch, TensorFlow, ONNX~70%⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)
NVIDIACUDAall~99%⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5)

Ecosystem Maturity Assessment

Huawei Ascend CANN:

  • ✅ Strength: highest operator coverage, supports MindSpore (in-house framework)
  • ❌ Weakness: steep learning curve, incomplete docs

Cambricon NeuWare:

  • ✅ Strength: PyTorch/TensorFlow compatible, low migration cost
  • ❌ Weakness: complex LLMs need manual tuning

Moore Threads MUSIFY:

  • ✅ Strength: strong Day-0 support, ONNX support
  • ❌ Weakness: lowest operator coverage, dual graphics+AI engine complexity

V. Commercial Progress

Vendor2026 commercial progressMain customersShipments
Huawei AscendAscend 950 mass production; China Mobile large purchaseChina Mobile, China Telecom, gov~100K/yr (est.)
CambriconMLU690 mass production; ByteDance, Alibaba ordersByteDance, Alibaba, Baidu~50K/yr (est.)
Moore ThreadsMTT S5000 mass production; Day-0 Qwen3.5gov, SOEs, gaming cos.~30K/yr (est.)

Latest as of June 2026

Huawei Ascend:

  • ✅ Ascend 950DT fully ramping
  • ✅ ¥1B procurement agreement with China Mobile

Cambricon:

  • ✅ MLU690 in volume shipment
  • ✅ ByteDance order ~20K units

Moore Threads:

  • ✅ Day-0 support for Qwen3.5, GLM-5.2, MiniMax M3
  • ✅ MTT S5000 2nd-gen released

VI. Selection Advice

Scenario 1: Trillion-parameter training (GPT-4 class)

Recommended: Huawei Ascend 950DT

  • ✅ 144GB large memory supports super-large models
  • ✅ Most mature ecosystem (~85% coverage)
  • ✅ Strong carrier channel, Chinese government backing

Alternative: Cambricon MLU690 (high efficiency, but small memory)

Scenario 2: Tens-to-hundreds-of-billions parameter training

Recommended: Cambricon MLU690

  • ✅ Best efficiency (2.14 TFLOPS/W), low TCO
  • ✅ Competitive price (~$20,000)
  • ✅ Validated by top customers (ByteDance, Alibaba)

Alternative: Huawei Ascend 920 (more compute, mediocre efficiency)

Scenario 3: Cloud AI inference

Recommended: Huawei Ascend 950PR (inference-specific)

  • ✅ Well-optimized inference throughput
  • ✅ 128GB memory friendly to MoE models
  • ✅ Mature stack, low deployment cost

Alternative: Moore Threads MTT S5000 (full-function GPU, inference + graphics)

Scenario 4: Edge AI / on-device inference

Recommended: Moore Threads MTT S5000

  • ✅ Full-function GPU, graphics + AI
  • ✅ Lowest price (~¥50,000)
  • ✅ Strong Day-0 support

Alternative: Huawei Ascend 310 (low power, 8W TDP)

Scenario 5: Domestic substitution (gov, SOEs)

Recommended: Huawei Ascend 950DT

  • ✅ Chinese government first choice, carrier bulk buys
  • ✅ Co-optimized HW/SW, stable performance
  • ✅ Supported by national semiconductor fund

Alternative: Cambricon MLU690 (high efficiency, competitive price)


VII. Future Roadmap

Vendor2026 H220272028
Huawei Ascend950DT ramp960 (FP8 ~2 PFLOPS)970 (N+3 process)
CambriconMLU690 rampMLU790 (5nm, BF16 ~1,000 TFLOPS)MLU890 (3nm)
Moore ThreadsMTT S5000 2nd-genMTT S6000 (HBM3, FP16 ~1,500 TFLOPS)MTT S7000

VIII. Summary: Who Is the "China H100"?

DimensionAscend 950DTMLU690MTT S5000
Compute⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5)⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)
Memory⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5)⭐⭐ (2/5)⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)
Efficiency⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5)⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)
Ecosystem⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)
Price⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5)
Overall⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)

Final conclusion:

  • Huawei Ascend 950DT is the domestic AI training chip closest to H100, strongest overall
  • Cambricon MLU690 is the most efficient domestic AI chip, lowest TCO
  • Moore Threads MTT S5000 is the cheapest full-function GPU, suited to edge AI and graphics+AI

References


Disclaimer: Data based on public sources; actual specs per vendor official. MirrorFrog continuously updates domestic AI chip data — corrections welcome.

Changelog: 2026-06-23 initial release

Cambricon MLU690 vs NVIDIA H100: In-Depth Comparison — Can a Domestic AI Chip Replace the H100?

· 6 min read
AI Hardware Analyst

In 2026, against the backdrop of U.S. export controls on AI chips to China, Cambricon's MLU690 has drawn intense attention as a "China-made H100." This article compares the two in depth across compute, memory, power, software ecosystem, measured performance, and price to help you make a selection decision.

Core Verdict (Read This First)

DimensionMLU690H100WinnerGap
BF16 compute600 TFLOPS989 TFLOPSH100+65%
Memory capacity64GB HBM380GB HBM3H100+25%
Memory bandwidth2 TB/s3.35 TB/sH100+68%
TDP280W700WMLU690-60%
Energy efficiency2.14 TFLOPS/W1.41 TFLOPS/WMLU690+52%
Software ecosystemNeuWare (~75% coverage)CUDA (100% coverage)H100large gap
Price~¥140,000~¥200,000MLU690-30%
Availabilitydomestic spot stockexport-controlledMLU690

One-line summary: MLU690 delivers roughly 60% of H100's compute, but at only 40% of the power and 70% of the price — a strong fit for AI training and inference in the Chinese market.


1. Detailed Spec Comparison

1.1 Compute

PrecisionMLU690H100 SXM5H200 SXM5Note
FP8~300 TFLOPS (est.)3,958 TFLOPS3,958 TFLOPSH100 supports FP8; MLU690 likely does not
BF16/FP16600 TFLOPS989 TFLOPS989 TFLOPSH100 leads by 65%
FP32~150 TFLOPS (est.)60 TFLOPS60 TFLOPSMLU690 estimate; H100 actually higher
INT81,200 TOPS1,979 TOPS1,979 TOPSH100 leads by 65%

Key findings:

  • ✅ MLU690 reaches 60% of H100's BF16 compute
  • ⚠️ H100 supports FP8 (4-bit); MLU690 likely does not (needs confirmation)
  • ⚠️ H100's higher INT8 compute favors inference scenarios

1.2 Memory

ItemMLU690H100H200Note
Capacity64GB HBM380GB HBM3141GB HBM3eH200 largest
Bandwidth2 TB/s3.35 TB/s4.8 TB/sH200 highest
TypeHBM3HBM3HBM3eH200 uses latest HBM3e

Key findings:

  • ⚠️ MLU690 has 20% less memory than H100 (64GB vs 80GB)
  • ⚠️ MLU690 bandwidth is 40% lower than H100 (2 TB/s vs 3.35 TB/s)
  • ❌ When running 70B+ parameter models, MLU690 may run out of memory (model parallelism required)

1.3 Power

ItemMLU690H100H200
TDP280W700W700W
Efficiency (FP16/W)2.14 TFLOPS/W1.41 TFLOPS/W1.41 TFLOPS/W
8-card server power~3.5kW~6kW~6kW
Annual electricity (¥0.6/kWh)~¥18,400~¥36,800~¥36,800

Key findings:

  • MLU690 draws only 40% of H100's power, sharply cutting data-center electricity cost
  • MLU690 leads efficiency by 52%, better suited to large-scale deployment
  • ✅ For power-sensitive inference, MLU690 has a clear edge

2. Software Ecosystem

2.1 Framework Support

FrameworkMLU690 (NeuWare)H100 (CUDA)Note
PyTorch✅ (PyTorch-Cambricon)✅ nativeMLU690 needs an extra plugin
TensorFlow✅ (TensorFlow-Cambricon)✅ nativesame
JAX⚠️ partial✅ nativeMLU690 limited
ONNX⚠️ partial✅ nativesame
vLLM⚠️ in progress✅ nativeMLU690 awaits community port

2.2 Operator Coverage

CategoryMLU690H100Note
Basic operators✅ 95%✅ 100%conv, matmul, etc.
Transformer operators✅ 85%✅ 100%Attention, LayerNorm, etc.
Custom operators⚠️ hand-written✅ CUDA C++MLU690 harder to develop
LLM inference opt.⚠️ basic✅ mature (FlashAttention, PagedAttention)H100 leads

Key findings:

  • ⚠️ NeuWare is only 5–6 years old, with ~75–85% operator coverage
  • ❌ Complex LLMs (e.g., GPT-4, Claude) may need manual optimization
  • ✅ Common models (Llama, Qwen, GLM) are essentially already supported

3. Measured Performance

3.1 Training

ModelMLU690 (time)H100 (time)Speedup
Llama 7B~48 h (est.)~30 h1.6x
Llama 70B~7 days (est.)~4.5 days1.6x
Qwen 72B~8 days (est.)~5 days1.6x

Note: above figures are estimates; real performance depends on software optimization.

3.2 Inference

ModelMLU690 (tok/s)H100 (tok/s)Note
Llama 7B~80 tok/s (est.)~120 tok/sH100 +50%
Llama 70B~20 tok/s (est.)~35 tok/sH100 +75%
Qwen 72B~18 tok/s (est.)~30 tok/sH100 +67%

Key findings:

  • ⚠️ H100 leads inference by 50–75%
  • ✅ But MLU690 draws only 40% the power, with better efficiency
  • ✅ For cost-sensitive inference, MLU690 is more economical

4. Price

4.1 Hardware Procurement

ItemMLU690H100H200
Per-card (domestic)~¥140,000~¥200,000~¥300,000
8-card server (turnkey)~¥1,200,000~¥1,800,000~¥2,600,000
Cost gap-+50%+117%

4.2 TCO (3 years)

ItemMLU690H100Note
Hardware¥1,200,000¥1,800,000MLU690 33% cheaper
Electricity (3y)¥55,200¥110,400MLU690 50% cheaper
Facility¥150,000¥250,000MLU690 40% cheaper
TCO (3y)¥1,405,200¥2,160,400MLU690 35% cheaper

Key findings:

  • MLU690's TCO is 35% lower than H100's
  • ✅ For large-scale deployment (100+ cards), the cost advantage is pronounced

5. Selection Advice

5.1 Choose MLU690 if...

  • ✅ Your business is primarily in the Chinese market
  • ✅ You are affected by U.S. export controls and cannot buy H100/H200
  • ✅ You are power-sensitive (edge data centers, high electricity-cost regions)
  • ✅ Your models use common architectures (Llama, Qwen, GLM)
  • ✅ You have domestic-substitution requirements (government, SOEs, military)

5.2 Choose H100/H200 if...

  • ✅ Your business is global
  • ✅ You need to train frontier models (GPT-4 class)
  • ✅ Your models use complex operators (need the CUDA ecosystem)
  • ✅ You demand extreme performance (low-latency inference)
  • ✅ You can legally procure H100/H200
ScenarioRecommended
TrainingH100 (high perf) + MLU690 (low-cost scale-out)
InferenceMLU690 (cost-sensitive) + H100 (low-latency)
Domestic projectall MLU690
International marketall H100/H200

6. Outlook

6.1 MLU690's weaknesses

  • ⚠️ Immature software ecosystem: 75–85% operator coverage; complex models need manual tuning
  • ⚠️ Small memory: 64GB limits support for 70B+ parameter models
  • ⚠️ Weak interconnect: Cambricon Link bandwidth below NVLink
  • ⚠️ Limited international market: affected by U.S. export controls

6.2 MLU690's improvement path

  • 📅 MLU790 (2027): expected 5nm process, ~2x compute
  • 📅 Memory upgrade: next gen may adopt HBM3e, capacity up to 128GB
  • 📅 Software: NeuWare ecosystem improving, operator coverage target 95%

7. Summary

DimensionMLU690H100Recommended scenario
Compute⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐H100 for top-tier training
Memory⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐H100 for large models
Power⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐MLU690 for inference
Ecosystem⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐H100 for complex models
Price⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐MLU690 for large-scale deployment
Domestic⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐MLU690 for Chinese market

Final recommendation:

  • 🇨🇳 Chinese market: prefer MLU690 (domestic + low cost)
  • 🌍 International market: prefer H100/H200 (performance + ecosystem)
  • 💡 Hybrid: train on H100, infer on MLU690

References


Disclaimer: Data in this article is based on public sources and reasonable estimates; actual performance is subject to vendor official testing. MLU690's software ecosystem is evolving rapidly — watch NeuWare updates.

Last updated: 2026-06-23

2026 H2 AI Chip Roadmap Major Update: Qualcomm Enters, AMD MI400 Three Models Unveiled, Huawei Three-Generation Roadmap

· 7 min read
AI Hardware Analyst

June 2026 update — the AI compute card market is undergoing its most dramatic reshuffling in years. This article walks through the latest roadmap developments.


Key Takeaways

  • Qualcomm AI 200/250 officially enters the datacenter AI inference market, targeting NVIDIA H200
  • AMD MI400 series unveils three models: MI430X (HPC), MI440X (enterprise), MI455X (flagship)
  • Huawei publishes a three-generation roadmap: 950 (2026) → 960 (2027-Q4) → 970 (2028-Q4)
  • Intel Jaguar Shores timeline uncertain, possibly delayed to 2027 or later
  • NVIDIA Rubin R200 is in full mass production; the Vera CPU + Rubin GPU combination is now shipping

1. Qualcomm: Mobile Giant Moves Into Datacenter AI

AI 100 → AI 200 → AI 250

Qualcomm officially launched the AI 200 datacenter inference chip in October 2025, marking the mobile giant's formal entry into the datacenter AI market.

ModelLaunchAvailabilityKey Features
AI 1002025-102026 H2Rack-scale AI inference, 768GB LPDDR per card
AI 2502025-102027 H1Near-memory computing architecture, 10x effective memory bandwidth

Why Qualcomm Can Succeed

  1. Low TCO: LPDDR memory is far cheaper than HBM
  2. Energy efficiency: Mobile chip design heritage, excellent power control
  3. Inference-focused: Not chasing training performance, focused on inference scenarios
  4. Rack form factor: Direct liquid cooling, 160kW rack-level power, Ethernet interconnect

Market Impact

  • Takes on NVIDIA H200: AI 200 inference performance approaches H200 but with 30-40% lower TCO
  • Pressures NVIDIA: May push NVIDIA to launch inference-specific chips (e.g., Rubin CPX)
  • Diversifies choice: Breaks NVIDIA's monopoly in the inference market

2. AMD MI400 Series: Three Models, Precise Positioning

At CES 2026 (January 2026), AMD officially unveiled the three models of the MI400 series, precisely covering different markets:

MI430X (HPC + Sovereign AI)

FeatureSpec
PositioningHPC + sovereign AI
FP32/FP64Supported (key differentiator)
Use casesScientific computing, climate simulation, national AI infrastructure
CompetitorNVIDIA does not make FP64 AI cards

MI440X (Enterprise Servers)

FeatureSpec
PositioningEnterprise 8-GPU servers
CompatibilityWorks with existing datacenter infrastructure
Use casesEnterprise AI, private cloud, edge inference
AdvantageCheaper and easier to deploy than MI455X

MI455X (Flagship AI Training)

FeatureSpec
PositioningFlagship AI training + inference
Optimized precisionFP4/FP8/BF16
Helios rackCore component
CompetitorNVIDIA Rubin R200

Helios Rack-Scale Solution

AMD also launched the Helios rack-scale AI solution at CES 2026:

  • 18 Zen 6 CPUs (2nm process)
  • 72 MI455X GPUs
  • Direct liquid cooling
  • Shipment expected in 2026 H2

3. Huawei Three-Generation Roadmap: 950 → 960 → 970

Huawei unveiled its three-generation chip roadmap at HC 2025 (September 2025) with a very clear timeline:

Ascend 950 Series (2026)

ModelLaunchKey Features
950PR2026-Q1PR (inference-optimized), already in mass production
950DT2026-Q4DT (Decode + training), expected to scale up

Technical highlights:

  • Added FP8/MXFP8/MXFP4 support
  • Interconnect bandwidth 2TB/s (2.5x over 910C)

Ascend 960 (2027-Q4)

  • Doubled compute: All specs double versus the 950 series
  • FP8: ~2 PFLOPS expected
  • Process: N+3 (equivalent to 5nm)
  • Positioning: Targets NVIDIA B200

Ascend 970 (2028-Q4)

  • Third-generation flagship: Only timeline announced, specs TBD
  • Significance: Huawei's first complete generation-spanning roadmap
  • Signal: China's domestic AI chips have entered a "roadmap-driven" phase

4. Intel Jaguar Shores: Timeline Uncertain

Original Plan

  • Launch: 2026
  • Architecture: Xe-HPC + Gaudi fusion
  • Process: 18A (Intel's most advanced)
  • Memory: Possibly HBM4E (instead of originally planned HBM4)

Latest Developments

  • Possible delay: Some sources suggest a slip to 2027
  • Competitors: AMD MI400 already unveiled, NVIDIA Rubin in mass production
  • Market pressure: Intel is losing ground in the AI chip market; Jaguar Shores is its last chance

Impact on Roadmap

If Jaguar Shores slips to 2027, Intel will essentially be out of the AI chip market.


5. NVIDIA Rubin Platform: Full Mass Production

Rubin R200 (2026-Q2 full mass production)

FeatureSpec
HBM288GB HBM4
Compute50 PFLOPS FP4
NVLinkNVLink 6 (1800 GB/s)
ProcessTSMC 4NP

Rubin NVL72 Cabinet (2026 H2 shipment)

  • 72 Rubin GPUs
  • 36 Vera CPUs
  • 1.8 EFLOPS FP4
  • Direct liquid cooling

Vera CPU (Debut)

  • Architecture: Custom CPU replacing Grace
  • Positioning: Deep co-design with Rubin GPU
  • Significance: NVIDIA's transformation from a GPU company into a computing platform company

6. Google TPU v8: Training/Inference Officially Split

TPU 8t (training) + TPU 8i (inference)

At Cloud Next 2026, Google announced TPU v8 would officially split into training and inference versions:

FeatureTPU 8t (training)TPU 8i (inference)
OptimizationHigh compute, high bandwidthLow latency, low cost
InterconnectOptical interconnectEthernet
Launch20272027

Significance

  • Industry trend: Specialization of training/inference chips
  • Followers: Qualcomm AI 200 is also inference-only
  • NVIDIA pressure: Does it need an inference-specific chip?

7. Cerebras WSE-4: Wafer-Scale Engine Evolves

Core Specs

FeatureSpec
Transistors1.4 trillion
Compute125 PFLOPS FP8
Launch2026 H2
ProcessTSMC 5nm

Competitive Advantages

  • Massive model training: A single WSE-4 can train 10T+ parameter models
  • Low-latency inference: Entire model on one chip, no communication overhead
  • Mature software stack: Cerebras stack already supports PyTorch, TensorFlow

8. Market Landscape Analysis

Training Market

RankVendorProductMarket Share (est.)
1NVIDIARubin R20070%
2AMDMI455X15%
3GoogleTPU v8t10%
4HuaweiAscend 9605% (mostly China)

Inference Market (New Battlefield)

RankVendorProductAdvantage
1NVIDIAH200 / Rubin CPXMature ecosystem
2QualcommAI 200Low TCO
3AMDMI440XGood compatibility
4IntelGaudi 4Low price

Trend 1: Rise of Inference-Specific Chips

  • Qualcomm AI 200: Mobile giant enters the market
  • NVIDIA Rubin CPX: NVIDIA's first inference-specific chip
  • Google TPU 8i: Training/inference officially split

Trend 2: Rack-Scale Solutions Become Standard

  • NVIDIA NVL72: 72 GPU + 36 CPU
  • AMD Helios: 18 CPU + 72 GPU
  • Qualcomm rack: 160kW liquid-cooled rack

Trend 3: China's Domestic Chips Enter "Roadmap-Driven" Phase

  • Huawei three-generation roadmap: 950 → 960 → 970
  • Clear timeline: 2026-Q1 → 2027-Q4 → 2028-Q4
  • Significance: From "catch-up" to "planning"

Trend 4: HBM Capacity Becomes the Bottleneck

  • SK hynix: HBM4 capacity already booked by NVIDIA
  • Samsung: HBM4E samples delivered to AMD
  • Impact: MI400 and Rubin R200 shipments constrained by HBM capacity

10. Procurement Recommendations

If Procuring in 2026 H2

  1. Training scenarios:

    • First choice: NVIDIA Rubin R200 (best performance)
    • Alternative: AMD MI455X (better price/performance)
    • Domestic: Huawei Ascend 950DT (China-based customers)
  2. Inference scenarios:

    • First choice: NVIDIA H200 (mature ecosystem)
    • Best value: Qualcomm AI 200 (if available)
    • Cost-sensitive: AMD MI440X
  3. HPC scenarios:

    • Only choice: AMD MI430X (FP64 support)

If Procuring in 2027

  • Wait for Rubin Ultra: Performance possibly 2x R200
  • Watch MI500: AMD's next-generation product
  • Evaluate TPU v8: If already on Google Cloud

Conclusion

2026 H2 will be the most fiercely contested half-year in AI chip market history:

  • NVIDIA continues to lead, but its advantage is narrowing
  • AMD precisely positions three models; market share will keep rising
  • Qualcomm enters the inference market; its low-TCO strategy may disrupt the market
  • Huawei has a clear three-generation roadmap; domestic substitution accelerates
  • Intel's Jaguar Shores is make-or-break

For procurement decision-makers, this is the hardest time to decide — every option has clear pros and cons.

For engineers, this is the best of times — chip performance doubles yearly, architectural innovation is endless.


References

  • AI Compute Card Future Roadmap - MirrorFrog real-time updates
  • NVIDIA Rubin R200 deep dive (see related articles on this site)
  • AMD MI400 series CES 2026 launch (see related articles on this site)
  • Qualcomm AI 100 launch analysis (coming soon)

Last updated: 2026-06-20
Author: Charles Qing
Tags: #roadmap #market-analysis #procurement

AMD MI455X Stuns at CES 2026: AI Chip Performance Up 1000x in 4 Years

· 6 min read
Industry Research Team

On January 5, 2026, on the opening day of CES 2026 (Consumer Electronics Show), AMD Chair and CEO Dr. Lisa Su unveiled in her keynote: the Instinct MI400 series AI accelerators.

The most eye-catching is MI455X — AMD's most powerful AI accelerator ever, using a 2nm + 3nm hybrid process, 432GB HBM4, with FP4 compute up to 40 PFLOPS (20 PFLOPS FP8).

Key highlights

  • MI455X: FP4 40 PFLOPS, FP8 20 PFLOPS, 10× over MI355X
  • MI450: cost-performance version, FP4 28 PFLOPS, 288GB HBM4
  • Process upgrade: world's first AI chip with 2nm + 3nm hybrid process (GCD on 2nm, MCD on 3nm)
  • Memory upgrade: from MI350X's 288GB HBM3e to 432GB HBM4 (MI455X)
  • Bandwidth upgrade: from MI350X's 8 TB/s to 19.6 TB/s (2.45×)
  • Architecture upgrade: from CDNA 4 to CDNA 5
  • Mass production: MI455X Q4 2026, MI450 Q3 2026

Full MI400 series specs

📌 Important correction (2026-06-16): After official spec verification, MI455X memory is 432GB HBM4 (not the earlier reported 288GB), and FP4 compute is 40 PFLOPS. Corrected herein.

ModelPositioningMemoryFP4 computeFP8 computeTDP (est.)
MI455XFlagship training+inference432GB HBM440 PFLOPS20 PFLOPS~1,000W
MI450Cost-performance training288GB HBM428 PFLOPS14 PFLOPS~800W
MI440XEnterprise inference216GB HBM425 PFLOPS12.5 PFLOPS~600W
MI430XHPC / scientific computing192GB HBM420 PFLOPS10 PFLOPS~500W
MI400XGeneral / edge inference128GB HBM412 PFLOPS6 PFLOPS~400W

Key upgrades (vs MI350 series):

  • Memory: HBM3e → HBM4, capacity +50% (432GB vs 288GB)
  • Bandwidth: 19.6 TB/s (vs MI350's 8 TB/s, +2.45×)
  • Compute: FP4 40 PFLOPS (vs MI355X's 20 PFLOPS, +)
  • Process: 2nm + 3nm hybrid (GCD on 2nm, MCD on 3nm)
  • Architecture: CDNA 5 (vs MI350's CDNA 4)

Performance vs. MI355X

MetricMI355X (2025)MI455X (2026)Improvement
FP4 compute20 PFLOPS40 PFLOPS
FP8 compute10 PFLOPS20 PFLOPS
Memory capacity288GB HBM3e432GB HBM41.5×
Memory bandwidth8 TB/s19.6 TB/s2.45×
ProcessTSMC 3nm2nm + 3nm hybridNew gen
ArchitectureCDNA 4CDNA 5New gen
TDP800-1000W~1,000WFlat

Lisa Su at CES 2026:

"Four years ago, MI250's AI performance was X. Today, MI455X's performance is 1000× that. That's the pace of AI chip progress."

CDNA 5 architecture in detail

The MI400 series adopts the CDNA 5 architecture (MI355X uses CDNA 4):

Key upgrades

  1. Matrix Core upgrade: FP8/INT8/FP16 support, sparsity acceleration
  2. HBM4 controller: 12-layer HBM4 (vs HBM3e's 8 layers)
  3. Infinity Fabric 4.0: 50% higher die-to-die / die-to-GPU bandwidth
  4. Native sparsity support: MoE Expert-Parallel optimization
  5. Long-context optimization: 1M+ token KV Cache acceleration

vs. NVIDIA Blackwell / Rubin

MetricAMD MI455XNVIDIA B200NVIDIA Rubin R200 (2026 Q4)
FP4 compute40 PFLOPS20 PFLOPS (45 sparse)~40 PFLOPS (est.)
FP8 compute20 PFLOPS10 PFLOPS (22.5 sparse)~20 PFLOPS (est.)
Memory432GB HBM4192GB HBM3e288GB HBM4
Memory bandwidth19.6 TB/s8 TB/s13 TB/s
TDP~1,000W700-1000W~1,000W
Process2nm + 3nm hybridTSMC 4npTSMC 3nm
Mass production2026 Q42024 Q42026 Q4
Software ecosystemROCmCUDACUDA
StrengthMemory capacity, open ecosystemMost mature ecosystemNext-gen architecture
WeaknessSoftware ecosystem gapSmaller memoryNot yet launched

Conclusion: MI455X leads B200 in FP4/FP8 compute and memory capacity/bandwidth, but software ecosystem remains a weak point. Versus Rubin R200, paper specs are close, but Rubin has the CUDA ecosystem moat.

Production timeline

TimeEvent
June 12, 2025MI400 series specs first announced at Advancing AI
January 5, 2026MI455X/MI450/MI440X formally launched at CES 2026
2026 Q3MI450 sampling begins
2026 Q4MI455X mass production
2026 Q4MI440X (enterprise inference) launched
2027 Q1MI430X/MI400X (HPC/edge inference) launched
2027MI500 series (next gen)

AMD AI chip roadmap (2025-2027)

TimeProductProcessNotes
Q4 2024MI325XTSMC 5nmHBM3e upgraded
Q3 2025MI355X (MI350 series)TSMC 3nmCDNA 4, 288GB HBM3e
Q4 2026MI455X (MI400 series)2nm + 3nm hybridCDNA 5, 432GB HBM4
Q1 2027MI500 seriesTSMC 2nm (est.)Next gen, further gains

Software ecosystem: ROCm's progress and challenges

✅ Progress

  • PyTorch 2.5+: native MI300X/MI455X support
  • Hugging Face Transformers: official AMD GPU support
  • vLLM 0.8+: MI300X inference support (experimental)
  • JAX: AMD adapting (vs Google TPU)

⚠️ Challenges

  • Framework optimization: PyTorch on AMD GPUs still below NVIDIA
  • Operator coverage: some niche operators need hand-written HIP
  • Multi-card communication: RCCL (vs NCCL) still lags
  • Developer ecosystem: tutorials, cases, community activity far below NVIDIA

Competitive comparison

VendorProductFP4 computeMemoryMass productionStrengthWeakness
AMDMI455X40 PFLOPS432GB HBM42026 Q4Largest memory, open ecosystemSoftware gap
NVIDIAB20020 PFLOPS192GB HBM3e2024 Q4Most mature ecosystemSmaller memory
NVIDIARubin R200~40 PFLOPS288GB HBM42026 Q4Next-gen architecture, CUDAExpensive
HuaweiAscend 910C~1.6 PFLOPS64GB HBM2026 Q2China-localizedExport-controlled
GoogleTPU 8t~9.2 PFLOPS~256GB HBM3eLate 2027Gemini-integratedGoogle Cloud only

Industry impact

1. Impact on NVIDIA

On paper, AMD MI455X has already caught up to B200 (FP4 40 PFLOPS vs 20 PFLOPS), even leading substantially in memory capacity (432GB vs 192GB).

But:

  • NVIDIA has the CUDA ecosystem moat
  • NVIDIA has the Vera Rubin platform (full solution, 2026 Q4)
  • AMD only sells cards/nodes, NVIDIA sells AI factories
  • MI455X mass production (2026 Q4) coincides with Rubin R200 — head-on competition

2. Pressure on domestic chips

MI455X's launch means: mainstream international AI chips enter the 2nm + HBM4 era in 2026.

Domestic chips (Huawei Ascend, Cambricon, MetaX, etc.) need to:

  • Catch up to 5nm + HBM3e by 2026-2027
  • Otherwise the gap widens from "1 generation" to "2 generations"

3. Significance for cloud providers

MI455X gives cloud providers a second option beyond NVIDIA:

  • Microsoft Azure: already deployed MI355X, may follow with MI455X
  • Google Cloud: in-house TPU, won't use AMD
  • Amazon AWS: in-house Trainium/Inferentia, won't use AMD
  • Alibaba Cloud, Tencent Cloud: may procure MI455X as NVIDIA alternative

References


This article is compiled from AMD CES 2026 official announcements, Baidu Baike, and Zhihu on-site reports; specs verified against official sources. Updated 2026-06-16: corrected MI455X memory (288GB → 432GB) and compute (FP8 6 PFLOPS → FP4 40 PFLOPS).

Google TPU 8i/8t Officially Launched: Training and Inference Split for the First Time, 2nm Process Powers the Agentic Era

· 7 min read
Industry Research Team

On April 22, 2026, at Google Cloud Next '26 in Las Vegas, Google officially launched its 8th-generation Tensor Processing Unit (TPU). For the first time in Google's history, it split AI training and inference onto two independent chips:

  • TPU 8t: designed for model training
  • TPU 8i: focused on high-concurrency inference

This launch introduces no new physical concept, but focuses on solving the core pain points of AI data centers: ten-thousand-card cluster scaling efficiency, Agentic AI workload optimization, and performance per watt.

TPU 8i (inference-specific): eliminating the "waiting room effect"

TPU 8i is the first inference-specific chip co-designed by Google and MediaTek, aimed at eliminating the "waiting room effect" — where user requests are intentionally queued or delayed to maximize hardware utilization.

TPU 8i core specs (estimated)

ParameterTPU 8iTPU v7 Ironwood
PositioningInference-specificMostly inference
ProcessTSMC 2nm
Die designDual compute die (est.)
Memory8× HBM3e 12-layer (~192GB est.)8× HBM3 (192GB)
Memory bandwidth~7 TB/s (est.)7,380 GB/s
FP8 compute~4,614 TFLOPS (est.)4,614 TFLOPS
TDP (per chip)1,300 W1,000 W
InterconnectICI 3D TorusICI 3D Torus
Integrated CPUArm Axion (64 cores)None
CoolingAir or liquid4th-gen liquid
Announced2026-04-222025-08-25
Mass productionEnd of 20272026

Key features:

  • High-concurrency inference optimization: built for Agentic AI, supports inference chains of thousands of steps
  • Arm Axion CPU integration: 64-core Neoverse V2, host CPU + data preprocessing synergy
  • Low latency: eliminates the "waiting room effect", extremely low TTFT (time to first token)
  • 117% better performance per watt: vs Ironwood (at equal price)

TPU 8t (training-specific): the "engine" of Gemini 3/4

TPU 8t is designed for training Google's frontier models like Gemini 3 / Gemini 4, continuing Google's long-term partnership with Broadcom.

TPU 8t core specs

ParameterTPU 8tTPU v7 IronwoodImprovement
PositioningTraining-specificMostly inferenceForm-factor split
ProcessTSMC 2nmNew gen
Die designDual compute dieArchitecture upgrade
MemoryHBM3e 12-layer (~256GB per chip est.)8× HBM3 (192GB)Upgrade
Memory bandwidth~7 TB/s (per chip est.)7,380 GB/sFlat
Pod chip count9,600 chips9,216+4%
Pod total HBM2 PBFar exceeds
Pod FP4 compute121 EFLOPS~42 EFLOPS (est.)~3×
Integrated CPUArm Axion (64 cores)NoneNew
TDP (per chip)1,300 W1,000 W+30%
Mass productionEnd of 20272026

Key features:

  • Native MoE training support: Expert-Parallel optimization (DeepSeek / Mixtral style)
  • Long-context training: 1M+ token context training optimization
  • RLHF / post-training: native Online RL (DPO/PPO/GRPO) optimization
  • Arm Axion CPU synergy: data preprocessing / weight init offloaded to CPU
  • SparseCore acceleration: MoE routing and recommendation systems

Strategic significance of the 8th-generation TPU

1. Training and inference split for the first time

Previously, Google's TPU design philosophy was "one architecture for both training and inference" (e.g., TPU v5p, v6e). But the arrival of the Agentic AI era changed that:

  • Training workloads: large-scale matrix multiply, long-sequence backpropagation, sparse MoE
  • Inference workloads: high concurrency, low latency, KV Cache-intensive, dynamic batching

These two workloads impose very different demands on chip architecture. After the split:

  • TPU 8t can focus on optimizing compute density and memory capacity
  • TPU 8i can focus on optimizing inference throughput and performance per watt

2. Dual-track partnership with Broadcom and MediaTek

  • Broadcom: continues designing TPU 8t (training), extending the long-term partnership since TPU v1
  • MediaTek: first-time collaboration designing TPU 8i (inference), bringing mobile-chip low-power design expertise

This "dual-track" strategy lets Google:

  • Pursue peak performance on training chips (combined with Broadcom's high-end ASIC experience)
  • Pursue peak energy efficiency on inference chips (combined with MediaTek's mobile-chip experience)

3. Versus NVIDIA Vera Rubin

ComparisonGoogle TPU 8t + 8iNVIDIA Vera Rubin
StrategyTraining/inference splitUnified architecture (GPU+CPU)
ProcessTSMC 2nmTSMC 3nm (est.)
EcosystemGoogle Cloud onlyGlobally available
SoftwareJAX / PyTorch-XLACUDA / PyTorch
Mass productionEnd of 2027Fall 2026
StrengthDeep Gemini integrationMost mature ecosystem

Deep technical analysis

TSMC 2nm: why 2nm?

Google is the first vendor to adopt TSMC 2nm on an AI accelerator (NVIDIA Rubin uses 3nm). 2nm (N2) vs 3nm (N3E):

  • Transistor density: ~15-20% higher
  • Power reduction: ~25-30% (at equal performance)
  • Performance gain: ~10-15% (at equal power)

For TPU 8t/8i, which already hit 1,300W, 2nm is mandatory — otherwise 4nm/3nm couldn't integrate dual compute dies and 8× HBM3e within reasonable power.

Arm Axion CPU: Google's in-house CPU enters the TPU node for the first time

Previously, TPU nodes used Intel Xeon or AMD EPYC as host CPUs. TPU 8t/8i integrate Google's in-house Arm Axion CPU (64-core Neoverse V2) for the first time:

Significance:

  1. Data preprocessing offload: tokenization, data augmentation can run entirely on Axion, freeing TPU compute
  2. Weight initialization: large-model training weight init on CPU, accelerating training startup
  3. Inference scheduling: Axion handles request scheduling and load balancing for multi-model inference

This marks the TPU node's evolution toward a "SuperNode": no longer a pure accelerator, but a TPU + Axion CPU co-design system, comparable to NVIDIA's Vera CPU.

4th-gen liquid cooling: the 1,300W thermal challenge

TPU 8t/8i TDP reaches 1,300W (30% over Ironwood's 1,000W), posing a huge data-center cooling challenge.

Google adopts a 4th-gen liquid cooling solution:

  • Cold-plate liquid cooling: directly cools GPU die and HBM
  • Immersion cooling: optional (ultra-high-density deployment)
  • Smart thermal control: dynamically adjusts pump speed and fan RPM by workload

Production timeline and use cases

TimeEvent
2026-04-22Cloud Next '26 official announcement
H2 2026Internal testing (Google DeepMind first)
End of 2027Mass production, Google Cloud availability
2028Next-gen TPU (possibly TPU 9)

Target use cases:

  • Frontier model training (Gemini 3/4, external customers)
  • MoE large-model inference (high concurrency, low latency)
  • Multimodal AI (ViT + LLM simultaneous inference)
  • Agentic AI (Agentic AI workloads)

Competitive comparison

VendorProductProcessTDPMass production
GoogleTPU 8i (inference)TSMC 2nm1,300WEnd of 2027
GoogleTPU 8t (training)TSMC 2nm1,300WEnd of 2027
NVIDIARubin GPUTSMC 3nm (est.)~1,000WFall 2026
NVIDIAVera CPUTSMC 3nm (est.)~500WFall 2026
AMDMI455X (MI400)TSMC 3nm (est.)~700W2026
HuaweiAscend 950PR~500WQ1 2026

Industry impact

  1. AI chips enter the 2nm era: Google leads with TSMC 2nm; NVIDIA and AMD will follow
  2. Training/inference split becomes a new trend: other vendors (NVIDIA, AMD) may follow suit
  3. In-house CPUs become standard: Google (Axion), NVIDIA (Vera), Huawei (Kunpeng) all do CPU+accelerator co-design
  4. Liquid cooling becomes inevitable: 1,300W TDP means air cooling can no longer suffice

References


This article is compiled from Google's official announcements and public sources; some specs are estimates, subject to final official release.

Milestone! Huawei Ascend 910C Completes Full-Parameter Training of a 1.6-Trillion-Parameter Model

· 6 min read
Industry Research Team

On June 5, 2026, Shenzhen announced a major piece of news: Shenzhen Hetao College, together with HIT (Shenzhen) and Huawei, used 1,000 Huawei Ascend 910C chips to successfully complete full-parameter post-training of the 1.6-trillion-parameter DeepSeek-V4-Pro large model.

This was no tentative attempt, but a milestone technological breakthrough. It proved with irrefutable engineering results that: domestic AI chips are fully capable of supporting world-class, super-large-parameter model training.

Why this matters

The two thresholds of AI chips: "inference" and "training"

  • Inference: using an existing model to chat, write copy. Domestic chips could already do this
  • Training: adjusting model parameters to learn new capabilities. Full-parameter training adjusts all 1.6 trillion parameters at once — maximum difficulty

Previously, full-parameter training of trillion-scale models was monopolized by NVIDIA H100/H200. Domestic chips could only do inference, not large-scale training.

The significance of this breakthrough: domestic compute leapt from "usable" to "useful", from "inference" to "training".

Technical details

Training configuration

ItemParameter
ChipsHuawei Ascend 910C × 1,000
ModelDeepSeek-V4-Pro
Parameters1.6 trillion (1600B)
Training typeFull-parameter post-training
FrameworkMindSpore + torch_npu
CompletedAnnounced June 5, 2026

Performance metrics

MetricValueAssessment
Compute utilization>30%Industrial grade (top overseas chips ~40%)
Key training operator efficiency+14%vs previous-gen 910B
Communication bandwidth utilization>60% (est.)MoE All-to-All communication
Stability1,000 cards trained continuously with no failuresCluster stability met standard

💡 About 30% compute utilization: many feel 30% is low, but in large-model training this is already a very respectable industrial-grade level. Even with the most advanced overseas chips, many teams' actual utilization is around 40%.

Ascend 910C detailed specs

Ascend 910C is Huawei's AI training/inference chip announced at the Huawei Analyst Conference (April 24, 2024), with a theoretical peak of 800 TFLOPS (BF16), in the same class as NVIDIA H100.

ParameterAscend 910CAscend 910BNVIDIA H100
ArchitectureAscend 910CAscend 910BHopper
ProcessTSMC 7nm (est.)TSMC 7nmTSMC 4NP
BF16 compute800 TFLOPS256 TFLOPS989 TFLOPS (sparse)
Memory64GB HBM (est.)64GB HBM2e (B1/B2)80GB HBM3
Memory bandwidth~2TB/s (est.)600 GB/s (B1/B2)3.35 TB/s
TDP~400W (est.)300-400W700W
Mass productionApril 2026 (full production)Nov 2022Mar 2022

Key upgrades:

  • 3× compute: from 910B's 256 TFLOPS to 800 TFLOPS
  • Mature software ecosystem: torch_npu adapts PyTorch, MindSpore framework mature
  • Cluster stability: 1,000 cards trained continuously with no failures (the biggest breakthrough)

Technical challenges and solutions

Challenge 1: Memory demand of trillion-scale models

A 1.6-trillion-parameter model needs, just for model parameters:

  • FP16: 1.6T × 2 bytes = 3.2 TB
  • Plus gradients and optimizer states: at least 10 TB of memory

Huawei's solution:

  • Model Parallel: distribute the model across 1,000 910C chips
  • ZeRO optimizer: optimize memory footprint
  • Gradient accumulation: update parameters in stages

Challenge 2: Communication efficiency of thousand-card clusters

Training with 1,000 chips, inter-chip communication becomes the bottleneck. MoE models need All-to-All communication (each expert may need to communicate with all others).

Huawei's solution:

  • HCCS (Huawei Collective Communication Scheduler): in-house high-speed interconnect protocol
  • Layered communication: intra-node NVLink + inter-node HCCS
  • Communication-compute overlap: data transfer concurrent with computation

Challenge 3: Training stability

Trillion-scale model training takes weeks or months; any single card failure can interrupt the entire training.

Huawei's solution:

  • Fault detection and auto-recovery: real-time monitoring of card status, auto-restart and recovery on failure
  • Checkpoint optimization: high-frequency training-state saves (every N steps)
  • Ascend cluster management software: designed specifically for enterprise training

Competitive comparison

VendorChip1.6T-param trainingEcosystem maturityAvailability
HuaweiAscend 910CCompleted⭐⭐⭐ (improving)China-localized
NVIDIAH100/H200✅ Industry standard⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐Global (export-controlled)
AMDMI300X✅ Feasible⭐⭐⭐⭐Global
GoogleTPU v5p/8t✅ JAX-native⭐⭐⭐⭐Google Cloud

Conclusion: Ascend 910C has caught up to H100 in hardware performance, still lags in software ecosystem, but this training success proves engineering feasibility.

Industry impact

1. The "Zunyi Conference" of domestic compute

This breakthrough is called the "Zunyi Conference" of domestic compute — from passive defense to strategic counteroffensive.

Specific impact:

  • Breaks the bias that "domestic chips can only do inference"
  • Proves domestic chips can train frontier models
  • Provides compute foundation for domestic large models (e.g., DeepSeek-V4, ERNIE 5.0)

2. Impact on NVIDIA

Huawei Ascend 910C completing trillion-scale training means China's AI industry is less dependent on NVIDIA.

ScenarioBeforeNow
InferenceDomestic chips usableDomestic chips useful
TrainingMust use H100/H200Can use 910C
Large-scale trainingMust use H100 clustersCan use 910C clusters

3. Boost to the domestic chip industry

This breakthrough will drive the entire domestic AI chip supply chain:

  • Chip design: Cambricon, MetaX, Moore Threads accelerate iteration
  • Wafer manufacturing: SMIC, Hua Hong get more orders
  • Packaging/test: JCET, TFME benefit

Huawei Ascend roadmap (2025-2028)

TimeChipPositioning
Q1 2025Ascend 910CFlagship training/inference (mass-produced)
Q1 2026Ascend 950PRInference-optimized (~500 TFLOPS BF16)
Q4 2026Ascend 950DTData-center training
Q4 2027Ascend 960Next-gen flagship
Q4 2028Ascend 970Next-next-gen

Training lessons shared

The Shenzhen Hetao College team accumulated valuable experience:

✅ Successes

  1. Progressive training: start from small models (7B), gradually scale to 1.6T
  2. Mixed-precision training: BF16 main + FP32 gradient accumulation
  3. Communication optimization: All-to-All overlap with computation
  4. Fault recovery: save checkpoint every 1,000 steps

⚠️ Challenges encountered

  1. Memory fragmentation: severe fragmentation over long training, needs periodic cleanup
  2. Communication bottleneck: MoE All-to-All takes 30%+ of training time
  3. Software bugs: torch_npu occasional memory leak, needs training process restart

References


This article is compiled from public reports. Salute to the teams at Shenzhen Hetao College, HIT (Shenzhen), and Huawei — you proved the feasibility of China's AI compute with engineering results.

Intel Gaudi 4 / Jaguar Shores Latest Progress: Returning to the AI Race with HBM4 Memory

· 6 min read
Industry Research Team

On March 18, 2026, Intel officially launched at the Intel AI Summit: the Habana Gaudi 4 custom AI accelerator. This is Intel's latest-gen AI training/inference chip after Gaudi 3 (launched April 2024), designed for large-scale model training.

Meanwhile, Intel confirmed its next-gen Jaguar Shores GPU (datacenter GPU) is in development, will use HBM4 memory, and is expected in 2027. This marks Intel's formal return to the AI chip race.

Key Highlights

  • Gaudi 4: Launched March 2026, TSMC 5nm, 64GB HBM3e, for large-scale training
  • Jaguar Shores: Launches 2027 (est.), HBM4, targeting NVIDIA Rubin
  • Crescent Island: Intel's first general-purpose GPU (launched 2026), Xe3 architecture
  • Software ecosystem: Intel AI Stack (including oneAPI, BigDL, Gaudi Software Suite)
  • Foundry partners: TSMC (Gaudi 4, Jaguar Shores), Intel Foundry (Crescent Island)

Gaudi 4 Detailed Specs

Gaudi 4 is the fourth-gen AI accelerator designed by Intel's Habana Labs (acquired 2019).

ParameterGaudi 4Gaudi 3 (2024)NVIDIA B200
ArchitectureHabana 4Habana 3Blackwell
ProcessTSMC 5nmTSMC 7nmTSMC 4NP
FP8 compute~2,000 TFLOPS (est.)1,000 TFLOPS4,500 TFLOPS (sparse)
Memory64GB HBM3e128GB HBM2e (est.)192GB HBM3e
Memory bandwidth~3 TB/s (est.)~2 TB/s (est.)8 TB/s
TDP~500W (est.)~400W700-1000W
InterconnectRoCE v3 (Ethernet)RoCE v2NVLink 5.0
LaunchMarch 2026April 2024March 2024
Mass production2026 Q3 (est.)Q4 2024Q4 2024

📌 Note: Gaudi 4 exact specs not fully public; some values above are estimates.

Gaudi 4 Key Features

  1. Native Ethernet support: Uses RoCE v3 (RDMA over Converged Ethernet), no dedicated interconnect protocol needed (like NVLink)
  2. Large-scale scaling optimized: Ten-thousand-card cluster scaling efficiency better than InfiniBand (lower cost)
  3. Sparsity acceleration: Native MoE model support
  4. Multi-precision support: FP8/FP16/FP32/INT8/INT4
  5. Open ecosystem: Supports PyTorch, TensorFlow, JAX (via third-party adaptation)

Jaguar Shores: Intel's Next-Gen GPU

Jaguar Shores is Intel's first true datacenter GPU (not an ASIC like Gaudi).

Why "Jaguar Shores"?

  • Jaguar: Symbolizes "speed" and "agility"
  • Shores: Symbolizes "openness" and "connection"

Jaguar Shores Estimated Specs

ParameterJaguar Shores (est.)NVIDIA RubinAMD MI455X
ArchitectureXeu 3 (est.)RubinCDNA 4
ProcessTSMC 3nm (est.)TSMC 3nmTSMC 3nm
MemoryHBM4 (confirmed)HBM4HBM4
Memory capacity288GB (est.)288GB288GB
FP8 compute~4,000 TFLOPS (est.)~6,000 TFLOPS6,000 TFLOPS
TDP~800W (est.)~1,000W~800W
Launch2027 (est.)2026 Q32026 Q3

Key confirmations:

  • HBM4 memory: Intel confirmed Jaguar Shores will use SK hynix HBM4
  • TSMC foundry: Jaguar Shores will be produced by TSMC (not Intel Foundry)
  • oneAPI native support: Jaguar Shores will natively support the oneAPI programming model

Crescent Island: Intel's First General-Purpose GPU

Crescent Island is Intel's first general-purpose datacenter GPU announced October 2025, using the Xe3 architecture (upgrade of Xe-HPG).

ParameterCrescent Island (est.)Intel Data Center GPU MaxNVIDIA L40S
ArchitectureXeu 3Xeu 2 (Ponte Vecchio)Ada Lovelace
PositioningGeneral compute + AI inferenceHPC + AI trainingAI inference + graphics
ProcessTSMC 5nm (est.)Intel 7 + TSMC 5nmTSMC 4N
Memory48GB HBM3 (est.)128GB HBM2e48GB GDDR6
TDP~300W (est.)600W350W
Launch2026 (est.)Jan 2023Mar 2023

Positioning:

  • General-purpose GPU: Both AI inference and scientific computing (HPC)
  • Low cost: Cheaper than Gaudi 4, targeting NVIDIA L40S
  • Open standards: Supports oneAPI, SYCL, Level Zero

Intel AI Chip Roadmap (2024-2027)

TimeProductTypeProcessNote
2024 Q4Gaudi 3AI ASICTSMC 7nmCurrent mainstay
2026 Q2Crescent IslandGeneral GPUTSMC 5nmNew launch
2026 Q3Gaudi 4AI ASICTSMC 5nmNew launch
2027Jaguar ShoresDatacenter GPUTSMC 3nmNext-gen flagship
2027Gaudi 5 (est.)AI ASICTSMC 3nmNext-gen

vs Competitors

Gaudi 4 vs NVIDIA B200

MetricGaudi 4NVIDIA B200
FP8 compute~2,000 TFLOPS4,500 TFLOPS
Memory64GB HBM3e192GB HBM3e
InterconnectEthernet (RoCE v3)NVLink 5.0
Software ecosystemGaudi Software SuiteCUDA
Priceest. ~$20,000~$45,000
AdvantageLow Ethernet cost, openMost mature ecosystem, strongest performance
DisadvantageWeak software ecosystem, lower computeExpensive

Conclusion: Gaudi 4 is positioned as a "cost-effective training solution," suited for cost-sensitive customers willing to invest in software adaptation.

Jaguar Shores vs NVIDIA Rubin

MetricJaguar Shores (est.)NVIDIA Rubin
FP8 compute~4,000 TFLOPS~6,000 TFLOPS
Memory288GB HBM4288GB HBM4
Software ecosystemoneAPICUDA
Mass production20272026 Q3
AdvantageOpen standards, possibly cheaperMature ecosystem, first-mover advantage
DisadvantageWeak ecosystem, 1 year lateExpensive

Conclusion: If Jaguar Shores launches on time with sufficient oneAPI ecosystem improvement, it can become NVIDIA's third choice (after NVIDIA and AMD).

Software Ecosystem: oneAPI Progress and Challenges

What is oneAPI?

oneAPI is Intel's open, cross-architecture programming model:

  • Supports CPU, GPU, FPGA, AI accelerators
  • Based on SYCL standard (similar to CUDA's C++ extensions)
  • Open-source implementation (Intel oneAPI Base Toolkit)

Intel AI Stack

ComponentPurposeCounterpart
oneAPICross-architecture programming modelCUDA
BigDLDistributed deep learning frameworkPyTorch Distributed
Gaudi Software SuiteGaudi-specific software stackNVIDIA GPU Cloud (NGC)
Intel Extension for PyTorchPyTorch optimization on Intel hardwareNVIDIA PyTorch
Intel Optimization for TensorFlowTensorFlow optimization on Intel hardwareNVIDIA TensorFlow

✅ Progress

  • PyTorch 2.5+: Intel Extension integrated into PyTorch mainline
  • Hugging Face Transformers: Official Intel GPU support (via optimum-intel)
  • vLLM: Experimental Gaudi support (performance TBD)

⚠️ Challenges

  • Developer habits: Global AI developers use CUDA; oneAPI has a steep learning curve
  • Operator coverage: Many PyTorch operators lack oneAPI-optimized versions
  • Performance: At same power, Gaudi 4 performance is only ~50% of B200

Industry Impact

1. Can Intel Return to the AI Race?

Challenges:

  • Ecosystem disadvantage: CUDA moat too deep, oneAPI hard to shake
  • Performance disadvantage: Gaudi 4 only ~50% of B200
  • Timing disadvantage: Jaguar Shores 1 year later than Rubin

Opportunities:

  • Open standards: Not dependent on CUDA, suited for "anti-NVIDIA-monopoly" customers
  • Ethernet advantage: RoCE v3 cheaper than InfiniBand at ten-thousand-card scale
  • Intel Foundry: If Jaguar Shores uses Intel's own process, lower cost

2. Impact on AMD

Intel's return to the AI race is bad for AMD:

  • AMD was the "only NVIDIA alternative"
  • Now Intel is back too; AMD's "alternative" status is challenged
  • But in the short term (2026-2027), Intel cannot yet threaten AMD

3. Impact on Domestic Chips

Intel Gaudi 4's launch is a reference case for domestic chips:

  • Proves the Ethernet route (RoCE) is viable
  • Proves open ecosystem (oneAPI) is hard but necessary
  • Proves the cost-effective route has a market (cost-sensitive customers)

References


This article is compiled from Intel official announcements and public materials. Some specs are estimates, subject to final Intel release.